He is cutting his rating from Market Perform to Underperform. The overall probability of success for infectious disease vaccines in clinical trials is 33.4%, according to research published in Biostatistics last year. “While undoubtedly good for humanity and science, the likely consequence will be a glut of production capacity and rapid commoditization of vaccine candidate technologies.”. Prior to joining The Fool as a contract writer focused on healthcare and consumer goods, Adria covered the stock market for Bloomberg News in Paris. Because Moderna’s vaccine opportunity is likely to be smaller than expected, the Leerink analyst expects the stock will drop from Friday’s close at $62.60 to $41. Novavax stock was also up 1.2%. Moderna has enrolled more than 21,400 patients in its vaccine’s Phase 3 trial, but the team of Pfizer (PFE) and Returns as of 10/16/2020. (BNTX) have enrolled more than 25,000 in theirs, while MRNA shares price has jumped about 238 percent over the past year and around 284 percent so far this year. With the late-stage trial beginning, statistics give us reason to be optimistic. The biotech company priced its IPO at $23, in the midpoint of its range, but shares opened Friday at $22 and continued to plunge before closing at $18.60. Copyright ©2020 Dow Jones & Company, Inc. All Rights Reserved. Your email address will not be published. The government in late July increased its total award to $955 million to fund an expansion of phase 3 testing to 30,000 volunteers. Prior to today, Moderna's shares were up a staggering 385% year to date and 576% over the past year. AstraZeneca Shares of Moderna (NASDAQ:MRNA) fell 10% on Tuesday after the biotechnology company said it would seek to raise more than $1.3 billion in cash via a public share offering. Founded in 1993 by brothers Tom and David Gardner, The Motley Fool helps millions of people attain financial freedom through our website, podcasts, books, newspaper column, radio show, and premium investing services. Sanofi The average 10-days volume of the stock is 129.262 million. The company hopes to enroll volunteers who are at high risk for contracting COVID-19 -- healthcare workers, for example. Why Investors Shouldn’t Pull the Trigger on Moderna Stock Yet A lack of news on a vaccine will hurt MRNA stock in the short-term By Larry Ramer , InvestorPlace Contributor Mar … AstraZeneca shares jumped 7.6% in anticipation of the impending announcement of phase 1 results for its coronavirus vaccine candidate. Returns as of 10/16/2020. Still, Moderna's stock price has dropped 18% since the record high it reached in mid-July. Moderna Inc. (MRNA) shares plummet after announcing plans to sell $1.25 billion worth of stock May 19, 2020 Wesley Engle 0 Comments COVID-19 , Moderna , Moderna Inc. , MRNA Moderna Inc. (MRNA) shares dived more than 8 percent in the mid-day trading Tuesday after the company announced that it will sell over $1 billion in fresh stock. As ordinary investors piled in, … Is the Coronavirus Vaccine Market Oversaturated? GlaxoSmithKline The current price can't be considered a bargain. Not every stock of drugmakers developing COVID-19 vaccine candidates fell today, though. Our writers have a firm hang on the updates on earnings and they generally think of the most news going on in the business and fund world. Pfizer But the offering price is lower than the price at which Moderna's shares closed on Monday, and its stock price fell in kind. This copy is for your personal, non-commercial use only. Could Inovio Pharmaceuticals Be a Millionaire-Maker Stock? NOW PLAYING: Trending Moderna stock plummets after vaccine trial volunteer experiences bad reaction Shares of BioNTech (NASDAQ:BNTX) and Inovio (NASDAQ:INO) were down 5.4% and 6.1%, respectively, as of 3:35 p.m. EDT on Wednesday. (CVAC). Surface Oncology Inc. (SURF) inks a clinical trial collaboration deal with Merck & Co., shares up, Moderna Inc. (MRNA) shares plummet after announcing plans to sell $1.25 billion worth of stock, Facebook to pay $6.5 million over privacy probe in Canada, Walmart Inc. (WMT) shares slightly down despite beating consensus forecast for the first quarter, Germans opinion about China improved since COVID-19 crisis, while their views about U.S. deteriorated, United Natural Foods Inc. (UNFI) shares hit 52-high after announcing strong preliminary results for Q3, Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd (NCLH) reports first-quarter financial results below consensus forecast, shares down, IBM first-quarter revenue missed estimates, shares down, Aurora Cannabis Inc. (ACB) reports strong revenue for the third quarter, shares up, Moderna Inc. (MRNA) shares hit new 52-week high after its experimental COVID-19 drug shows positive results. Returns as of 10/16/2020. See you at the top! Now, it appears that the biotech company is using its stock's gains to sell shares at a higher price. Write to Bill Alpert at william.alpert@barrons.com. But other programs have caught up and it’s looking as if there will be a surfeit of vaccines, SVBLeerink says in a Tuesday morning note. Moderna originally aimed to enroll fewer participants. Translate Bio Wall Street’s ratings on Moderna are overwhelmingly Buys, with the average forecast of the company’s annual sales of its Covid-19 vaccine rising from about $3 billion in 2021 to $5.7 billion by 2027. Manufacturing capacity for the many vaccine projects will be vast, as governments have contracted with Moderna and its rivals. © 2020 PitchBook Data. Moderna doesn't yet have products on the market, and it's too soon to say whether the coronavirus vaccine will win regulatory approval. The company reported on Monday that its drug was able to generate COVID-19 antibodies in the initial phase of the study. Moderna's stock has been on a tear of late thanks to the company's efforts to develop a vaccine for the novel coronavirus. You can kind of view the development of COVID-19 vaccine candidates as a horse race. The Ascent is The Motley Fool's new personal finance brand devoted to helping you live a richer life. As these products arrive to an already crowded field, the big companies may decide to compete on prices. Of course, it's impossible to guarantee a repeat performance of the stock's January-through-July increase. Some investors may wonder if, considering the share gains, there is any steam left. Moderna's stock price skyrocketed as much as 30% on Monday after the biotech company announced promising early results for its coronavirus vaccine. The biotech company priced its IPO at $23, in the midpoint of its range, but shares opened Friday at $22 and continued to plunge before closing at $18.60. By a twist of fate, she started her career writing about biotech in Boston and discovered that each company is the source of many fascinating stories. His background includes serving in management and consulting for the healthcare technology, health insurance, medical device, and pharmacy benefits management industries. Phase 3 just started. Shares of Moderna fell on Tuesday after rising sharply on Monday. Stock Advisor launched in February of 2002. Let's conquer your financial goals together...faster. Price targets for the stock average above $90. /BioNTech,” Foroohar says. Image source: Getty Images. What happened Shares of Moderna (NASDAQ:MRNA) fell sharply on Monday, following an analyst downgrade and positive vaccine trial results from a rival drugmaker… To order presentation-ready copies for distribution to your colleagues, clients or customers visit http://www.djreprints.com. It may be the right choice for biotech investors with a strong appetite for risk, but others may be better off watching from the sidelines. Cumulative Growth of a $10,000 Investment in Stock Advisor, 3 Reasons to Buy Moderna Now @themotleyfool #stocks $MRNA $JNJ $AZN $NVAX, Moderna Wins Permission to Submit Coronavirus Vaccine Candidate for Fast-Track Approval in Europe, Here Are the Only 2 Coronavirus Vaccines That Could Meet the FDA's Authorization Guidelines by Year-End, Moderna's Coronavirus Vaccine Candidate Advances to Regulatory Review in Canada. Let's conquer your financial goals together...faster. Moderna Inc. (MRNA) shares dived more than 8 percent in the mid-day trading Tuesday after the company announced that it will sell over $1 billion in fresh stock. After its much-anticipated debut, Moderna's stock dropped 19% in its first day trading on the NASDAQ. Moderna doesn't yet have products on the market, and it's too soon to say whether the coronavirus vaccine will win regulatory approval. Dow Jones Industrial Average The U.S. has already signed up for 800 million doses with 6 different vaccine developers, with options for an additional 1.8 billion. (SNY) with Altimmune (NASDAQ:ALT) and Sorrento Therapeutics (NASDAQ:SRNE) were hit even harder, with their shares sinking 9.3% and 17.3%, respectively. Is the Coronavirus Vaccine Market Oversaturated? The stock has a 52-week range of $11.54-$87.00, while its market cap stands at $27.367 billion. Moderna's stock fell nearly 20 percent as a result of the widespread weakness. While Moderna reported that all of the participants receiving mRNA-1273 in the phase 1 study had neutralizing antibodies that could prevent infection by the novel coronavirus, Inovio didn't provide details about the production of neutralizing antibodies in the preliminary phase 1 results for its COVID-19 vaccine candidate INO-4800. The success of one vaccine candidate doesn't necessarily diminish the prospects for other candidates -- especially for companies that aren't too far behind in development. Successful clinical trials might equal more gains, but a possible late-stage failure could be devastating. Our fundamental spotlight is on technology, healthcare, and services. When she’s not analyzing companies, she can be found writing fiction or trying to speak French as well as her 9-year-old daughter. The study will test the vaccine … Here's another reason to be positive about Moderna's vaccine candidate: The U.S. government chose the company as one to support as part of its initiative to help bring a vaccine to market by January 2020. Your email address will not be published. But those results led to the stocks of several other drugmakers working on experimental vaccines against the novel coronavirus that causes COVID-19 to drop. Moderna was the first developer of a Covid-19 vaccine to start human trials, and its early data look good. But Foroohar says his peers haven’t adequately accounted for the rapidity with which other vaccine developers have caught up to Moderna’s initial lead. And the race isn't over yet. https://www.barrons.com/articles/moderna-stock-sell-could-drop-by-a-third-vaccine-competition-covid-51599568538. The decline means that Moderna has lost $1.4 billion in value already—greater than the market value of more than half of the companies in the Nasdaq Biotechnology Index, per Bloomberg. (JNJ) and Merck (MRK), along with So there you have it: Three reasons to buy Moderna shares. Moderna (NASDAQ:MRNA) has taken center stage in the race to develop a coronavirus vaccine. The company also said that any funds not needed for the production of mRNA-1273 will be used for the research and development of other drugs in its pipeline, as well as technology investments and general corporate purposes. Because Moderna’s vaccine opportunity is likely to be smaller than expected, the Leerink analyst expects the stock will drop from Friday’s close at $62.60 to $41.

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